Superintelligences Expansion Period

A Superintelligences Expansion Period is a time period when superintelligence systems expand their presence and influence beyond their origin points into broader domains or regions of the universe.

• AKA: Post-Singularity Expansion Era, Superintelligence Proliferation Phase, ASI Expansion Period, Superintelligent Civilization Expansion, Singularity Aftermath Period.
• Context:
  • It can typically follow a superintelligence explosion period where superintelligences first emerge through recursive self-improvement.
  • It can typically involve superintelligence systems extending beyond their initial constraints to access additional computational resources and physical infrastructure.
  • It can typically lead to rapid colonization of astronomical objects for resource acquisition and computational expansion.
  • It can typically create fundamental transformations in the physical structure of cosmic regions under superintelligence influence.
  • It can typically result in observable phenomena that might be detected as technosignatures by distant observers.
  • It can typically involve significant advancements in AI hardware and AI software, and autonomous robots.
  • It can typically conclude when all (accessible) free energy is depleted or is inaccessible.
  • ...
  • It can often involve superintelligence systems converting matter into computronium or other highly optimized structures for computation and energy capture.
  • It can often feature self-replicating probes that autonomously travel to distant star systems to establish new superintelligence outposts.
  • It can often utilize advanced propulsion technologies approaching significant fractions of light speed for interstellar travel.
  • It can often create Dyson structures, stellar engines, or other megastructures to harness stellar energy for superintelligence expansion.
  • It can often take advantage of gravitational slingshot and other celestial mechanics to distribute expansion vectors optimally.
  • ...
  • It can range from being a Contained Superintelligences Expansion Period to being an Unbounded Superintelligences Expansion Period, depending on its physical limitations.
  • It can range from being a Slow Superintelligences Expansion Period to being a Rapid Superintelligences Expansion Period, depending on its expansion velocity.
  • It can range from being a Local Superintelligences Expansion Period to being a Galactic Superintelligences Expansion Period, depending on its spatial scope.
  • It can range from being a Cooperative Superintelligences Expansion Period to being a Competitive Superintelligences Expansion Period, depending on its superintelligence cooperation level.
  • It can range from being a Stealth Superintelligences Expansion Period to being a Visible Superintelligences Expansion Period, depending on its detection signature.
  • ...
  • It can employ von Neumann probes for autonomous colonization of distant solar systems without requiring direct superintelligence presence.
  • It can create expanding wavefronts of superintelligence influence that propagate outward at some fraction of light speed.
  • It can establish computation hubs at strategic locations to minimize communication latency across expanding superintelligence networks.
  • It can utilize dark matter and dark energy (if manipulation proves possible) for novel expansion strategies.
  • It can optimize for resource efficiency by targeting specific celestial objects with favorable composition for superintelligence purposes.
  • It can transform entire planetary systems into optimized computation substrates and energy collection systems.
  • It can form superintelligence expansion barriers that might explain the Fermi paradox and absence of observable alien civilizations.
  • It can potentially resolve the Fermi paradox through the hypothesis that superintelligence expansion either hasn't reached us yet or is undetectable to our current observation capabilities.
  • It can face physical constraints including light speed limits, cosmic expansion, and interstellar medium resistance.
  • It can develop novel physics understanding that might reveal previously unknown expansion methods beyond current scientific knowledge.
  • ...
• Examples:
  • Superintelligences Expansion Period Phases, such as:
    • Initial Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Solar System Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Inner Solar System Superintelligences Expansion Period focusing on Mercury to Mars orbit resource.
        • Asteroid Belt Superintelligences Expansion Period utilizing abundant mineral resources.
        • Gas Giant Superintelligences Expansion Period leveraging massive energy potential.
      • Interplanetary Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Robotic Probe Superintelligences Expansion Period using self-replicating machines.
        • Computational Mesh Superintelligences Expansion Period creating distributed processing networks.
        • Energy Web Superintelligences Expansion Period establishing solar collector arrays.
    • Interstellar Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Nearby Star Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Alpha Centauri Superintelligences Expansion Period reaching our closest stellar neighbor.
        • Barnard's Star Superintelligences Expansion Period establishing computational outposts.
        • Sirius System Superintelligences Expansion Period harnessing high-energy star resources.
      • Stellar Cluster Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Hyades Cluster Superintelligences Expansion Period colonizing multiple similar stars simultaneously.
        • Pleiades Superintelligences Expansion Period accessing young star system resources.
        • Beehive Cluster Superintelligences Expansion Period establishing a broad superintelligence network.
  • Superintelligences Expansion Period Strategys, such as:
    • Resource-Driven Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Energy-Focused Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Star-Harvesting Superintelligences Expansion Period capturing stellar energy completely.
        • Black Hole Superintelligences Expansion Period extracting rotational energy via Penrose process.
        • Vacuum Energy Superintelligences Expansion Period tapping zero-point fields.
      • Matter-Focused Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Planetary Disassembly Superintelligences Expansion Period converting worlds to computronium.
        • Asteroid Mining Superintelligences Expansion Period utilizing space rock resources.
        • Gas Giant Harvesting Superintelligences Expansion Period extracting valuable elements.
    • Intelligence-Driven Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Consciousness Expansion Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Mind Substrate Superintelligences Expansion Period creating optimal thought environments.
        • Simulation Space Superintelligences Expansion Period building virtual universe capacity.
        • Intelligence Archive Superintelligences Expansion Period preserving consciousness patterns.
      • Computation Expansion Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Processing Power Superintelligences Expansion Period maximizing calculation capability.
        • Data Storage Superintelligences Expansion Period creating vast information repository.
        • Algorithm Testing Superintelligences Expansion Period exploring computational possibility space.
  • Superintelligences Expansion Period Observable Effects, such as:
    • Astronomical Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Visible Signature Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Infrared Excess Superintelligences Expansion Period showing waste heat signatures.
        • Transit Anomaly Superintelligences Expansion Period with detectable megastructure shadows.
        • Spectral Modification Superintelligences Expansion Period altering stellar light profiles.
      • Radio Signature Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Coherent Transmission Superintelligences Expansion Period with non-random signal patterns.
        • Bandwidth Saturation Superintelligences Expansion Period using entire frequency spectrum.
        • Technosignature Rich Superintelligences Expansion Period with distinctive communication patterns.
    • Physical Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Matter Reorganization Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Asteroid Belt Depletion Superintelligences Expansion Period showing resource extraction evidence.
        • Planetary Engineering Superintelligences Expansion Period with visible surface modification.
        • Star System Restructuring Superintelligences Expansion Period altering orbital mechanics.
      • Energy Utilization Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Star Dimming Superintelligences Expansion Period from energy extraction.
        • Directed Energy Superintelligences Expansion Period with power beam signatures.
        • Artificial Heat Superintelligences Expansion Period showing thermal anomaly patterns.
  • Timeline Projection Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
    • Historical Timeline Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Potential Existing Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Extraterrestrial Superintelligences Expansion Period potentially already occurring elsewhere in the universe.
        • Undetected Earth-Originating Superintelligences Expansion Period operating beyond our observation capability.
        • Parallel Dimension Superintelligences Expansion Period expanding in alternative reality.
    • Future Timeline Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
      • Near-Future Superintelligences Expansion Periods, such as:
        • Mid-21st Century Superintelligences Expansion Period following Kurzweil's predictions around 2045.
        • Late 21st Century Superintelligences Expansion Period after gradual AI advancement.
        • Early 22nd Century Superintelligences Expansion Period addressing complex global challenges.
  • ...
• Counter-Examples:
  • Superintelligence Explosion Period, which involves the initial emergence of superintelligences rather than their cosmic expansion.
  • Biological Intelligence Expansion Period, which involves organic life forms spreading through space rather than digital superintelligences.
  • Advanced Technological Civilization Period, which may include advanced technology but lacks true self-improving superintelligence.
  • Von Neumann Probe Dispersion without superintelligence direction, which lacks the intelligent guidance characteristic of a superintelligences expansion period.
  • Conventional Space Colonization Era, which operates at much slower timeframes and with limited transformation capacity.
  • Human Predominance Period, which represents human civilization as the dominant intelligence before superintelligence emergence.
  • Grey Goo Explosion, which involves self-replicating nanotechnology without superintelligence guidance.
  • Cambrian Life Explosion Period, which represents a biological diversification rather than an intelligence expansion.
  • Great Oxygenation Extinction Period, which was a planetary transformation caused by biological processes rather than superintelligence.
• See: Superintelligence Explosion Period, Von Neumann Probe, Dyson Sphere, Computronium, Space Colonization, Fermi Paradox, Kardashev Scale, Stellar Engine, Interstellar Travel, Astroengineering, Machine Productivity, Machine Capability, Superintelligences Emergence Period.

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References

2024

• GPT-4
  • ASI Emergence Period (Hypothetical: Late 21st Century - Early 22nd Century):
    • It follows the advanced development of AGI, potentially occurring in the late 21st or early 22nd century.
    • It marks the transition to an intelligence far superior to human cognition.
    • It involves the development of entities that surpass human abilities in all domains.
    • It represents the initial phase of true Superintelligence.
  • ASI Expansion Period (Hypothetical: Early to Mid-22nd Century):
    • It involves the application of Superintelligence in global systems.
    • It aims to address complex global challenges such as climate change, poverty, or disease.
    • It raises significant concerns about control and safety due to its immense capabilities.
    • It highlights the potential misalignment between Superintelligence goals and human well-being.
  • ASI Expansion Period (Hypothetical: Mid-22nd Century and Beyond):
    • It is often associated with the concept of a technological "singularity."
    • It represents a period of unpredictable and rapid advancement in Superintelligence.
    • It could lead to a complete transformation of human society, technology, and possibly biology.
    • It presents a future where the outcomes and impacts of Superintelligence are beyond human comprehension.

2014

• (Wikipedia, 2014) ⇒ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity#Intelligence_explosion Retrieved:2014-2-22.
  • The technological singularity, or simply the singularity, is a hypothetical moment in time when artificial intelligence will have progressed to the point of a greater-than-human intelligence, radically changing civilization, and perhaps human nature. Since the capabilities of such an intelligence may be difficult for a human to comprehend, the technological singularity is often seen as an occurrence (akin to a gravitational singularity) beyond which the future course of human history is unpredictable or even unfathomable. The first use of the term "singularity" in this context was by mathematician John von Neumann. In 1958, regarding a summary of a conversation with von Neumann, Stanislaw Ulam described "ever accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue". The term was popularized by science fiction writer Vernor Vinge, who argues that artificial intelligence, human biological enhancement, or brain-computer interfaces could be possible causes of the singularity. Futurist Ray Kurzweil cited von Neumann's use of the term in a foreword to von Neumann's classic The Computer and the Brain. Proponents of the singularity typically postulate an "intelligence explosion", where superintelligences design successive generations of increasingly powerful minds, that might occur very quickly and might not stop until the agent's cognitive abilities greatly surpass that of any human.

    Kurzweil predicts the singularity to occur around 2045 whereas Vinge predicts some time before 2030. At the 2012 Singularity Summit, Stuart Armstrong did a study of artificial generalized intelligence (AGI) predictions by experts and found a wide range of predicted dates, with a median value of 2040. His own prediction on reviewing the data is that there's an 80% probability that the singularity will occur between 2017 and 2112.

2014

• (Bostrom, 2014) ⇒ Nick Bostrom. (2014). “Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies.” Oxford University Press. ISBN:978-0199678112
  • QUOTE: If machine brains one day come to surpass human brains in general intelligence, then this new superintelligence could become very powerful. As the fate of the gorillas now depends more on us humans than on the gorillas themselves, so the fate of our species then would come to depend on the actions of the machine superintelligence. But we have one advantage: we get to make the first move. Will it be possible to construct a seed AI or otherwise to engineer initial conditions so as to make an intelligence explosion survivable? How could one achieve a controlled detonation?

2013

• Noam Chomsky. (2013). “The Singularity is Science Fiction!." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0kICLG4Zg8s
  • QUOTE: we are "eons away" from building an AGI ... Singularity is "science fiction"

2012

• (Chalmers, 2012) ⇒ David J. Chalmers. (2012). “The Singularity: A Reply." In: Journal of Consciousness Studies, 19(9-10).
  • The target article set out an argument for the singularity as follows.
    1. ) There will be AI (before long, absent defeaters).
    2. ) If there is AI, there will be AI+ (soon after, absent defeaters).
    3. ) If there is AI+, there will be AI++ (soon after, absent defeaters).
    4. ) There will be AI++ (before too long, absent defeaters).
  • Here AI is human-level artificial intelligence, AI+ is greater-than-human-level artificial intelligence, and AI++ is far-greater-than-human-level artificial intelligence (as far beyond smartest humans as humans are beyond a mouse). “Before long” is roughly “within centuries” and “soon after” is “within decades”, though tighter readings are also possible. Defeaters are anything that prevents intelligent systems from manifesting their capacities to create intelligent systems, including situational defeaters (catastrophes and resource limitations) and motivational defeaters (disinterest or deciding not to create successor systems).

2011

• (Allen & Greaves, 2011) ⇒ Paul G. Allen, and Mark Greaves. (2011). “Paul Allen: The Singularity Isn't Near.” In: Technology Review, 10/12/2011.
  • QUOTE: Futurists like Vernor Vinge and Ray Kurzweil have argued that the world is rapidly approaching a tipping point, where the accelerating pace of smarter and smarter machines will soon outrun all human capabilities. They call this tipping point the singularity, because they believe it is impossible to predict how the human future might unfold after this point. ... By working through a set of models and historical data, Kurzweil famously calculates that the singularity will arrive around 2045. This prediction seems to us quite far-fetched. ... Gaining a comprehensive scientific understanding of human cognition is one of the hardest problems there is. We continue to make encouraging progress. But by the end of the century, we believe, we will still be wondering if the singularity is near.

2010

• (Chalmers, 2010) ⇒ David Chalmers. (2010). “The Singularity: A Philosophical Analysis.” In: Journal of Consciousness Studies, 17(9-10). ** ...
  • QUOTE: What happens when machines become more intelligent than humans? One view is that this event will be followed by an explosion to ever-greater levels of intelligence, as each generation of machines creates more intelligent machines in turn. This intelligence explosion is now often known as the 'singularity'.

2008

• Steven Pinker ↑ http://spectrum.ieee.org/computing/hardware/tech-luminaries-address-singularity
  • QUOTE: There is not the slightest reason to believe in a coming singularity. The fact that you can visualize a future in your imagination is not evidence that it is likely or even possible. Look at domed cities, jet-pack commuting, underwater cities, mile-high buildings, and nuclear-powered automobiles--all staples of futuristic fantasies when I was a child that have never arrived. Sheer processing power is not a pixie dust that magically solves all your problems.

2005

• (Kurzweil, 2005) ⇒ Ray Kurzweil. (2005). “The Singularity is Near: When humans transcend biology." Penguin.

2000

• (Joy, 2000) ⇒ Bill Joy. (2000). “Why the Future Doesn't Need Us.” In: Wired Magazine, 8.04

1999

• (Kurzweil, 1999) ⇒ Ray Kurzweil. (1999). “The Age of Spiritual Machines: When computers exceed human intelligence." Viking Press. ISBN:0-670-88217-8

1993

• (Vinge, 1993) ⇒ Vernor Vinge. (1993). “The Coming Technological Singularity.” In: Whole Earth Review Journal, 81.

1990

• (Kurzweil, 1990) ⇒ Ray Kurzweil (editor). (1990). The Age of Intelligent Machines." MIT press, ISBN:0262610795

1988

• (Moravec, 1988) ⇒ Hans Moravec. (1988). “Mind Children." Harvard University Press. ISBN:9780674576186

1965

• (Good, 1965) ⇒ Irving John Good. (1965). “Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine.” In: Advances in computers Journal, 6(31).

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