International Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race

An International Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race is an AI arms race that is an international technological race (drives strategic competition between nation states for AI supremacy).

• AKA: Global AI Arms Race, International AI Competition, Nation-State AI Race.
• Context:
  • It can mobilize National Resources through research funding, talent development, and infrastructure investment.
  • It can coordinate Government Agencys through military programs, intelligence initiatives, and research institutes.
  • It can influence International Relations through technology alliances and strategic partnerships.
  • It can shape National Policys through ai strategy, regulatory frameworks, and security directives.
  • It can drive Technology Transfers through international collaboration, academic exchange, and corporate partnerships.
  • It can affect Global Standards through governance frameworks and ethical guidelines.
  • It can range from being a Bilateral Competition to being a Multilateral Race, depending on its participant count.
  • It can range from being a Collaborative Development to being an Adversarial Race, depending on its relationship dynamics.
  • It can generate International Tensions through technology restrictions and trade barriers.
  • It can create Security Concerns through data sovereignty, critical infrastructure, and national defense.
  • ...
• Examples:
  • International AI Initiatives, such as:
    • National AI Programs, such as:
      • US National AI Initiative (2025) for technological leadership.
      • China AI 2030 Plan for ai dominance.
      • EU AI Strategy (2025) for regulatory leadership.
    • Regional AI Coalitions, such as:
      • EU-US AI Alliance for democratic ai development.
      • AUKUS AI Partnership for defense capability.
  • Strategic AI Domains, such as:
    • Military AI Programs, such as:
      • Project Maven for military intelligence.
      • China's Military AI Initiative for combat systems.
    • Economic AI Initiatives, such as:
      • Digital Silk Road AI for economic influence.
      • EU Digital Market AI for market competitiveness.
  • ...
• Counter-Examples:
  • Corporate AI Arms Race, which focuses on commercial competition rather than national interests.
  • Regional AI Arms Race, which operates at a subnational level rather than international scale.
  • Academic AI Race, which emphasizes research advancement over strategic advantage.
• See: AI Arms Race, International Competition, National AI Strategy, Global Technology Race, Strategic Technology Development.

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References

2017d

• https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/904638455761612800
  • QUOTE: It begins … China, Russia, soon all countries w strong computer science. Competition for AI superiority at national level most likely cause of WW3 imo.

2017c

• http://theverge.com/2017/9/4/16251226/russia-ai-putin-rule-the-world
  • QUOTE: Russian president Vladimir Putin has joined the war of words concerning the international race to develop artificial intelligence. Speaking to students last Friday, Putin predicted that whichever country leads the way in AI research will come to dominate global affairs. “Artificial intelligence is the future, not only for Russia, but for all humankind,” said Putin, reports RT. “It comes with colossal opportunities, but also threats that are difficult to predict. Whoever becomes the leader in this sphere will become the ruler of the world.”

2017b

• https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/01/opinion/artificial-intelligence-regulations-rules.html
  • QUOTE: The problem is that if we do so, then nations like China will overtake us. The A.I. horse has left the barn, and our best bet is to attempt to steer it. A.I. should not be weaponized, and any A.I. must have an impregnable “off switch.” Beyond that, we should regulate the tangible impact of A.I. systems (for example, the safety of autonomous vehicles) rather than trying to define and rein in the amorphous and rapidly developing field of A.I.

2017a

• http://scmp.com/tech/enterprises/article/2103568/world-dominance-three-steps-china-sets-out-road-map-lead-artificial
  • QUOTE: The Chinese government’s July 8 plan aims to keep pace with AI technology by 2020, make major breakthroughs by 2025, and lead the world in AI by 2030.

2015

• (Istvan, 2015) ⇒ Zoltan Istvan. March 6, 2015. “A Global Arms Race to Create a Superintelligen AI is Looming."
  • QUOTE: … Whichever government launches and controls a superintelligent AI first will almost certainly end up the most powerful nation in the world because of it.

2012

• http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/AI_arms_race
  • An AI arms race is a situation where multiple parties are trying to be the first to develop machine intelligence technology.

    Humanity has some historical experience with arms races involving nuclear weapons technology.

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