Univariate Timeseries Modeling System

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A Univariate Timeseries Modeling System is a timeseries modeling system and univarate data analysis system which implements a univariate timeseries modeling algorithm to solve a univariate timeseries modeling task.



References

2016

  • http://www.statsmodels.org/dev/tsa.html
    • QUOTE: statsmodels.tsa contains model classes and functions that are useful for time series analysis. Basic models include univariate autoregressive models (AR), vector autoregressive models (VAR) and univariate autoregressive moving average models (ARMA). Non-linear models include Markov switching dynamic regression and autoregression. It also includes descriptive statistics for time series, for example autocorrelation, partial autocorrelation function and periodogram, as well as the corresponding theoretical properties of ARMA or related processes. It also includes methods to work with autoregressive and moving average lag-polynomials. Additionally, related statistical tests and some useful helper functions are available.

      Estimation is either done by exact or conditional Maximum Likelihood or conditional least-squares, either using Kalman Filter or direct filters.