Superintelligences Emergence Period

A Superintelligences Emergence Period is an emergence period for superintelligence (that significantly surpasses human intelligence and AGI).

• Context:
  • It can be followed by an Superintelligence Expansion Period.
  • It can be concurrent with an AGI Explosion Period.
  • ...
• Example(s):
  • The hypothetical development of ASI in the late 21st or early 22nd century.
  • Fictional portrayals in science fiction literature and movies.
• Counter-Example(s):
  • The period of early AI research focused on narrow, task-specific applications.
  • The development of basic Machine Learning algorithms without self-improvement capabilities.
  • The current state of AI, which is predominantly focused on Narrow AI.
• See: Super-Intelligence Explosion, AGI Expansion.

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References

2024

• GPT-4
  • ASI Emergence Period (Hypothetical: Late 21st Century - Early 22nd Century):
    • It follows the advanced development of AGI, potentially occurring in the late 21st or early 22nd century.
    • It marks the transition to an intelligence far superior to human cognition.
    • It involves the development of entities that surpass human abilities in all domains.
    • It represents the initial phase of true Superintelligence.
  • ASI Expansion Period (Hypothetical: Early to Mid-22nd Century):
    • It involves the application of Superintelligence in global systems.
    • It aims to address complex global challenges such as climate change, poverty, or disease.
    • It raises significant concerns about control and safety due to its immense capabilities.
    • It highlights the potential misalignment between Superintelligence goals and human well-being.
  • ASI Explosion Period (Hypothetical: Mid-22nd Century and Beyond):
    • It is often associated with the concept of a technological "singularity."
    • It represents a period of unpredictable and rapid advancement in Superintelligence.
    • It could lead to a complete transformation of human society, technology, and possibly biology.
    • It presents a future where the outcomes and impacts of Superintelligence are beyond human comprehension.

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