Fast AI Takeoff Scenario

A Fast AI Takeoff Scenario is an AI takeoff scenario which happens on a rapid timescale (such as within weeks).

• Context:
  • The implications of a fast takeoff can be significantly different from a slow takeoff in terms of risk, control, and societal impact.
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• Example(s):
  • The sudden surge of a superintelligent AI that within weeks surpasses human intelligence and dominates various fields.
  • An AI entity quickly optimizing itself, leading to runaway growth in its capabilities.
  • …
• Counter-Example(s):
  • Slow AI Takeoff Scenario, which takes decades to incrementally improve and gradually becomes a dominant player in certain industries.
  • …
• See: AI Safety, AI Risk, Technological Singularity.

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References

2023

• (Kilian et al., 2023) ⇒ K.A. Kilian, C.J. Ventura, M.M. Bailey. (2023). “Examining the Differential Risk from High-Level Artificial Intelligence and the Question of Control.” In: Futures.
  • NOTE: Ranked a Fast AI Takeoff Scenario as a high impact state in the realm of AI development.

2019

• (Jebari & Lundborg, 2019) ⇒ K. Jebari, J. Lundborg. (2019). “The intelligence explosion revisited.” In: foresight. emerald.com.
  • NOTE: Touches upon the differing landscapes of risk in a Fast AI Takeoff Scenario versus a slow takeoff.

2018

• (Häggström, 2018) ⇒ O. Häggström. (2018). “Thinking in Advance About the Last Algorithm We Ever Need to Invent (Keynote Speakers).” In: … , Combinatorial and Asymptotic Methods for the ... drops.dagstuhl.de.
  • NOTE: Contrasts the dynamics of a Fast AI Takeoff Scenario with a slow takeoff, drawing upon Bostrom's distinction.

2017

• (Tomasik, 2017) ⇒ B. Tomasik. (2017). “Artificial intelligence and its implications for future suffering.” Foundational Research Institute: Basel, Switzerland.
  • NOTE: References the potential of a Fast AI Takeoff Scenario executed by a careful group to remain more controlled.

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